Monday, August 26, 2013

Immigration Issues, the "Atlantic" culture and WEIRD

A rather ambiguous article in the New York Times this morning (8/26/13), not sure what the point is. But I'll paste my comment in here to preserve it in case I ever develop a fan base.

With emendations, I owe my comment about the unlimited supply of "unskilled" labor to General Odom, but I may have invented a new concept.  It refer to the reference to an "Atlantic" culture, shorthand for a "Mid-Atlantic" Anglo-Saxon culture, thus taking some of the loaded terms off the table.  Less cumbersome than Jared Diamond's WEIRD (Western, Educated, Industrialized, Rich, Developed).

Afro-Americans are DEEPLY Anglo Saxon culturally, President Obama and Colin Powell are "More Anglo-Saxon" than my inbred rural third cousins here in Arkansas as far as I am concerned.

I am not sure what the point of the article was.  Personally, I have no problem with the ambiguous status of Mr. Wajskol, obviously he is a useful and productive resident whose children will probably grow up to be useful and productive citizens.

The larger problem with our immigration system is as the article notes in passing, ""Legions Dream of an American Passport."  Is Mr Wajskol somehow depriving them of this opportunity?  I don't think so, and I would welcome any literate, English speaking member of the larger "Atlantic" culture who wants to move and work here.

BUT, the rest of the world has an essentially unlimited supply of low skill workers for whom this country is still the last best hope.  Too bad, so sad, the lifeboat is pretty full, we are not creating enough jobs for our own low-skill workers.

Low skill immigrants (however you describe that category) are simply used to depress the wages of the American Working class.  I'm sure given the opportunity half the population of Haiti would be on a plane tomorrow, and that is a country with a population of what, nine million?

Yes, a little diversity is good, but we can not assimilate all the potential refugees and immigrants from non-Atlantic cultures that would like to move here.  And some of them, once granted Green cards, singularly fail to assimilate, most spectacularly recently the Fort Hood Shooter. 

Further Points:

1. I got the population of Haiti correct off the top of my Head!!!

(My netbook insists on closing the window before opening a new one).

2.  Unassimilateable Immigrants.  OK, I am specifically concerned about people with a Grandfather Named Mohamed.  Yes, there are MANY of them who become fully assimilated.  But a significant portion who don't, if only the media would cover these stories as assiduously as they do every School and Workplace Shooting.   You pick up the odd story about alleged "Honor Killings" by chance. What concerns me is how many "go along to get along," travel back to the home village and marry their 1st Cousins, making them (the 1st Cousin) instantly eligible for a US visa and Green card, and shifting the problem to the next generation.  It's a classic case of Chain Migration (look it up) to bring in more of the same, who sustain and grow these self contained and self referencing communities.  We have enough home grown communities of that sort already. 

Sunday, August 25, 2013

Soviet War Plans, 1979-1989

Russian (Soviet) Cold War plans and Sir John Hackett

I wrote this as a post on another Blog, because this is a recurring theme, it is worthwhile to post here as a semi-permanent record of my knowledge of the subject.

One of the more interesting aspects of the debate is the way people with little real knowledge of the facts seem to believe they "know" the truth.

It happens that I DO know a lot more about these issues than most people, the first is the refusal of otherwise rational and intelligent people to understand that there was a whole society controlled by a group who believed in a Malevolent Ideology (Marxist-Leninist-Stalinist thought, pick your label, usually refereed to as Communism or the Eastern Bloc for convenience) which was a threat to the entire "Western Way of Life" (Democracy and all that).

Having worked in the (US) V Corps HQ (Frankfurt) in 1978-89 and various other exercise and training environments through the 1980's.....

Among other things, every major exercise (V Corps) we had "Representatives of an (unidentified) Friendly Foreign Power" present as "observers." Or something. Funny enough, they all spoke French and wore strange (to me) uniforms (Kepis Featured, with plenty of Gold Braid) that I have always assumed were French. But I suppose it made their Government happy to pretend they were outside the NATO command structure.

And by "Exercise" I include the "Command Post Exercise" (CPX) cycle, ten (?) or so (Total) a year, much cheaper to deploy the Staff, etc (300-400 personnel?) somewhere for a week than the "Field" exercises when you have all those Tanks etc rolling around the countryside.

At some point in the 1980's, in addition to doing a significant number of (Official) war games/exercises, I matured into a good enough Soviet Specialist to be aware that they had a parallel and much deeper (intellectual) level of "Operations Research" (OR) than we did, or at least a broader distribution of this specialized knowledge.  Really, I met at least one US OR specialist who studied the Soviet (Open Source) literature.

To skip a couple of steps, with the end of the Cold War, they (accidently?) left a copy of their basic War Plan (Schliefen plan for the 80's?) in a Polish Barracks, which was subsequently published in the Journal of Soviet Military Studies.

Nuke Everything in sight, (US/NATO Barracks and Installations) then get (the Warsaw Pact) Troops moving out of the Kasernes.

(Straight across the North German Plain, there is a variety of supporting evidence in their Force Structure and Training that this really was "The Plan")

OK, what I thought was important was:

1. I knew from (US) Games and Exercises, that a Soviet conventional Offensive was a Dubious Proposition;

2.  Presumably their exercises showed the same thing.

3.  In Soviet Experience/Political/Military Theory, there is no substitute for Victory.
(Example, Sidorenko, The Offensive, USAF Translation.  Too turgid for me to actually read, but at least I am "familiar" with the work)

4.  It's Not Much of a Plan, But.....

My question was, why did no one ever suggest I connect the dots? Did anyone ever?
  (Which should come our from behind the Green Door in another twenty or thirty years).